Holly Holm vs Julianna Peña
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamSikJitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmJulianna Peña
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julianna Peña66%
Holly Holm 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julianna Peña a 66% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Holly Holm's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Julianna Peña 67%.
Holly Holm and Julianna Peña share 3 common opponents: Kayla Harrison, Raquel Pennington and Amanda Nunes.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.