Holly Holm vs Kayla Harrison
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record19-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach66″
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Kayla Harrison is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1657
If they lose-10→ 1625
If they win+10→ 1788
If they lose-22→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmKayla Harrison
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayla Harrison84%
Holly Holm 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayla Harrison a 84% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Kayla Harrison holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1635, a 143-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kayla Harrison enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Kayla Harrison 74%.
Holly Holm and Kayla Harrison share 1 common opponent: Ketlen Vieira.
Holly Holm carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.