Holly Holm vs Kennedy Freeman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record6-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach--
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMachine MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmKennedy Freeman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kennedy Freeman60%
Holly Holm 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kennedy Freeman a 60% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Holly Holm's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1634), separated by just 1 points.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kennedy Freeman enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Kennedy Freeman 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.