Holly Holm vs Ketlen Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Ketlen Vieira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1653
If they lose-14→ 1621
If they win+14→ 1686
If they lose-18→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmKetlen Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ketlen Vieira76%
Holly Holm 24%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ketlen Vieira a 76% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ketlen Vieira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1635, a 37-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Vieira 38%.
Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira share 3 common opponents: Kayla Harrison, Yana Santos and Raquel Pennington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.