Holly Holm vs Miesha Tate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmMiesha Tate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miesha Tate62%
Holly Holm 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Miesha Tate a 62% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1635 vs 1640), separated by just 5 points.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Holly Holm and Miesha Tate share 4 common opponents: Yana Santos, Ketlen Vieira, Raquel Pennington and Amanda Nunes.
Holly Holm carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.