Holly Holm vs Ronda Rousey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Hayastan
What's at stake
Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1656
If they lose-11→ 1624
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-21→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmRonda Rousey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronda Rousey76%
Holly Holm 24%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 76% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1635, a 116-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.
Holly Holm and Ronda Rousey share 2 common opponents: Amanda Nunes and Bethe Correia.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.