Holly Holm vs Yana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Yana Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Holly Holm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1652
If they lose-15→ 1620
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-17→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Holly HolmYana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yana Santos70%
Holly Holm 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Yana Santos a 70% favorite over Holly Holm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Yana Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1635, a 26-point edge.
Holly Holm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Holly Holm finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Yana Santos 47%.
Holly Holm and Yana Santos share 2 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira and Irene Aldana.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.