Combat Edge Intelligence

Horacio Gutierrez vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
69,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
Chicago Fight TeamTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Horacio GutierrezNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.86
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
27%
Strike accuracy
65%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
47%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
4.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Horacio GutierrezJoshua Weems
155016001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
1 (14%)
Submission
9 (53%)
2 (29%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems60%
Horacio Gutierrez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 60% favorite over Horacio Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.

Horacio Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Horacio Gutierrez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.