Combat Edge Intelligence

Horacio Gutierrez vs Teruto Ishihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record14-14-3
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Chicago Fight TeamTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Horacio Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Teruto Ishihara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Horacio GutierrezNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-20→ 1580
Teruto IshiharaNow 1508
If they win+15→ 1523
If they lose-9→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.86
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
27%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
47%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
50%
Takedown defense
31%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Horacio GutierrezTeruto Ishihara
15001550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
1 (14%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Horacio Gutierrez72%
Teruto Ishihara 28%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Horacio Gutierrez a 72% favorite over Teruto Ishihara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Horacio Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1508, a 92-point edge.

Horacio Gutierrez enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Horacio Gutierrez finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.