Houston Alexander vs James Irvin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-16-1Record17-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
203 lbsWeight185 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
James Irvin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Houston Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1465
If they lose-11→ 1441
If they win+14→ 1499
If they lose-18→ 1467
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Houston AlexanderJames Irvin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Irvin67%
Houston Alexander 33%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes James Irvin a 67% favorite over Houston Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
James Irvin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1485 to 1452, a 33-point edge.
Houston Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Houston Alexander finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, James Irvin 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.