Houston Alexander vs Joe Schilling
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-16-1Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamThe Yard Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1464
If they lose-12→ 1440
If they win+23→ 1485
If they lose-25→ 1437
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Houston AlexanderJoe Schilling
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Schilling72%
Houston Alexander 28%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 72% favorite over Houston Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1452 vs 1462), separated by just 10 points.
Houston Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Houston Alexander finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Joe Schilling 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.