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Combat Edge Intelligence

Houston Alexander vs Sam Fournier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-16-1Record2-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'5"
TBDReach-
203 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Houston AlexanderNow 1450
If they win+12→ 1462
If they lose-12→ 1438
Sam FournierNow 1460
If they win+23→ 1483
If they lose-25→ 1435

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
56%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
53%
Strike defense
Not available
0.59
Takedown avg.
Not available
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Houston AlexanderSam Fournier
14501500155020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (82%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (18%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Houston Alexander and Sam Fournier within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1450 vs 1460), separated by just 10 points.

Houston Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sam Fournier enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Houston Alexander finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.