Combat Edge Intelligence

Houston Dorr vs Joe Schilling

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Schilling
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Joe Schilling

“Stitch 'Em Up”

4-7-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1462Average

Tale of the tape

1-2-0Record4-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamThe Yard Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Houston DorrNow 1469
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445
Joe SchillingNow 1462
If they win+24→ 1486
If they lose-24→ 1438

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Houston DorrJoe Schilling
14501500199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (100%)
Submission
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Schilling57%
Houston Dorr 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Schilling a 57% favorite over Houston Dorr in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Houston Dorr's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1462), separated by just 7 points.

Houston Dorr enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Schilling enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Schilling 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.