Combat Edge Intelligence

Hugo Cunha vs Jon Madsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hugo Cunha
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Hugo Cunha

“Silverback”

8-1-0HeavyweightLFA

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
258 lbsWeight222 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamHIT Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hugo CunhaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Jon MadsenNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
30%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.18
35%
Strike defense
81%
0
Takedown avg.
1.32
0%
Takedown accuracy
71%
0%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hugo CunhaJon Madsen
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Hugo Cunha57%
Jon Madsen 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hugo Cunha a 57% favorite over Jon Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Hugo Cunha enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hugo Cunha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jon Madsen 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.