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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hugo Govea vs Paulo Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
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TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hugo GoveaNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
Paulo SantosNow 1466
If they win+24→ 1490
If they lose-24→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Hugo GoveaPaulo Santos
1450150020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Combat Edge model read

Hugo Govea63%
Paulo Santos 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Hugo Govea a 63% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1466), separated by just 5 points.

Paulo Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.