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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hugo Guillon vs Keith Berish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Keith Berish
us

Keith Berish

“Sha Bang Bang”

5-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
78"Reach73,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
La Bonne Ecole· 1614 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamBlack & Blue MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hugo GuillonNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Keith BerishNow 1609
If they win+24→ 1633
If they lose-24→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
Not available
Strike defense
63%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.76
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hugo GuillonKeith Berish
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (40%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Hugo Guillon64%
Keith Berish 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hugo Guillon a 64% favorite over Keith Berish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Hugo Guillon finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Keith Berish 80%.

Hugo Guillon carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.