Hugo Guillon vs Tim McKenzie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record14-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
78"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight174 lbs
La Bonne Ecole· 1565 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hugo GuillonTim McKenzie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim McKenzie52%
Hugo Guillon 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim McKenzie a 52% favorite over Hugo Guillon in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hugo Guillon's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.
Hugo Guillon finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tim McKenzie 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.