Combat Edge Intelligence

Hugo Viana vs Ryo Hirayama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Hugo Viana
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Hugo Viana

“Wolverine”

8-4-0BantamweightRFA

1565Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record4-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Champion TeamTeamX-Treme Ebina

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hugo VianaNow 1565
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Ryo HirayamaNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Hugo VianaRyo Hirayama
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
7 (88%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Hirayama70%
Hugo Viana 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 70% favorite over Hugo Viana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1570), separated by just 5 points.

Hugo Viana enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hugo Viana finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Hirayama 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.