Hugo Viana vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Champion TeamTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
TJ Dillashaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Hugo Viana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-8→ 1557
If they win+8→ 1771
If they lose-24→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Hugo VianaTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Dillashaw83%
Hugo Viana 17%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Dillashaw a 83% favorite over Hugo Viana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
TJ Dillashaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1565, a 198-point edge.
Hugo Viana enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Hugo Viana finishes 13% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Hugo Viana and TJ Dillashaw share 1 common opponent: Aljamain Sterling.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.