Combat Edge Intelligence

Humberto Bandenay vs Keiichiro Nakamura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-10-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Humberto BandenayNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-12→ 1663
Keiichiro NakamuraNow 1676
If they win+24→ 1700
If they lose-24→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.22
Sig. strikes / min
5.22
42%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.39
41%
Strike defense
66%
2.90
Takedown avg.
0
46%
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
83%
0.48
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Humberto BandenayKeiichiro Nakamura
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
7 (88%)
11 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (22%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Humberto Bandenay and Keiichiro Nakamura within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.

Keiichiro Nakamura enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Humberto Bandenay finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Keiichiro Nakamura 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.