Combat Edge Intelligence

Humberto Brown vs Kyohei Hagiwara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-6-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Alleycat FitnessTeamTeam Smoker

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Humberto BrownNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
Kyohei HagiwaraNow 1480
If they win+16→ 1496
If they lose-16→ 1464

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
50%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Humberto BrownKyohei Hagiwara
1500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyohei Hagiwara67%
Humberto Brown 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 67% favorite over Humberto Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1480), separated by just 2 points.

Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Humberto Brown finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.