Combat Edge Intelligence

Hunter Smith vs John Gunther

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Gunther
us

John Gunther

“The Machine”

5-1-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach39,5"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hunter SmithNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
John GuntherNow 1635
If they win+24→ 1659
If they lose-24→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
7.08
TBD
Takedown accuracy
42%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hunter SmithJohn Gunther
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (20%)
2 (25%)
Decision
3 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Hunter Smith70%
John Gunther 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hunter Smith a 70% favorite over John Gunther in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Hunter Smith enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Hunter Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Gunther 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.