Hunter Smith vs Kajan Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record23-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
69"Reach75,5"
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Performance Evolution Training CenterTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Hunter SmithKajan Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kajan Johnson56%
Hunter Smith 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kajan Johnson a 56% favorite over Hunter Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hunter Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1615), separated by just 2 points.
Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Hunter Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kajan Johnson 70%.
Kajan Johnson carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.