Combat Edge Intelligence

Hunter Smith vs Natan Levy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Natan Levy
il

Natan Levy

“Lethal”

8-2-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
156 lbsWeight157 lbs
Performance Evolution Training CenterTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hunter SmithNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Natan LevyNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-16→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.03
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
41%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Hunter SmithNatan Levy
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (25%)
Decision
5 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Hunter Smith66%
Natan Levy 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hunter Smith a 66% favorite over Natan Levy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1635), separated by just 1 points.

Hunter Smith enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Hunter Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Natan Levy 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.