Combat Edge Intelligence

Hunter Smith vs Nick Hein

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nick Hein
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Nick Hein

“Sergeant”

14-5-0LightweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hunter SmithNow 1636
If they win+24→ 1660
If they lose-24→ 1612
Nick HeinNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.61
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Hunter SmithNick Hein
15501600165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (29%)
2 (25%)
Decision
9 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Hunter Smith70%
Nick Hein 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hunter Smith a 70% favorite over Nick Hein in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1636), separated by just 0 points.

Hunter Smith enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hunter Smith finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nick Hein 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.