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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussain Al Kurdi vs Jacob Rosales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
-Reach74,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
KHK MMA· 1645 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamCSW· 1624 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussain Al KurdiNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Jacob RosalesNow 1583
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
7.19
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.66
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.12
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Hussain Al KurdiJacob Rosales
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
2 (67%)
Submission
4 (24%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Jacob Rosales56%
Hussain Al Kurdi 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Rosales a 56% favorite over Hussain Al Kurdi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1583), separated by just 1 points.

Hussain Al Kurdi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Hussain Al Kurdi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Rosales 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.