Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussain Al Kurdi vs Roger Huerta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Huerta
us

Roger Huerta

“El Matador”

24-13-1LightweightBFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record24-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
KHK MMATeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussain Al KurdiNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Roger HuertaNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.33
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
53%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Hussain Al KurdiRoger Huerta
1550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
2 (67%)
Submission
5 (23%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Hussain Al Kurdi66%
Roger Huerta 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hussain Al Kurdi a 66% favorite over Roger Huerta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1579), separated by just 3 points.

Hussain Al Kurdi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Hussain Al Kurdi finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.