Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussein Fakher vs Joe Duffy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Duffy
ie

Joe Duffy

“Irish Joe”

16-5-0LightweightUFC

1563Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-Reach73.00
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Dragon TeamTeamThe MMA Clinic

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussein FakherNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Joe DuffyNow 1563
If they win+24→ 1587
If they lose-24→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.96
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Hussein FakherJoe Duffy
15001550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
4 (57%)
Submission
10 (63%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Hussein Fakher and Joe Duffy within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1563), separated by just 1 points.

Hussein Fakher enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hussein Fakher finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duffy 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.