Combat Edge Intelligence

Hussein Fakher vs Satoru Kitaoka

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record45-27-10
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Dragon TeamTeamLotus Setagaya

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hussein FakherNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Satoru KitaokaNow 1561
If they win+12→ 1573
If they lose-12→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1496 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
TBD
Strike defense
64%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
59%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Hussein FakherSatoru Kitaoka
1500155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Submission
22 (49%)
2 (29%)
Decision
23 (51%)

Combat Edge model read

Hussein Fakher66%
Satoru Kitaoka 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hussein Fakher a 66% favorite over Satoru Kitaoka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Hussein Fakher enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Satoru Kitaoka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hussein Fakher finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Satoru Kitaoka 49%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.