Combat Edge Intelligence

Hyder Amil vs Melquizael Costa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Hyder Amil
us

Hyder Amil

“The Hurricane”

11-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1680Good

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record26-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
El Nino Training CenterTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hyder AmilNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Melquizael CostaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.81
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
53%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
51%
Strike defense
55%
0.56
Takedown avg.
2
18%
Takedown accuracy
41%
66%
Takedown defense
59%
0.84
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Hyder AmilMelquizael Costa
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
9 (35%)
1 (9%)
Submission
8 (31%)
4 (36%)
Decision
9 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Melquizael Costa53%
Hyder Amil 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melquizael Costa a 53% favorite over Hyder Amil in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1682), separated by just 2 points.

Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hyder Amil finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Melquizael Costa 65%.

Hyder Amil and Melquizael Costa share 1 common opponent: Christian Rodriguez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossSubmission · 2026
Christian Rodriguez
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025