Combat Edge Intelligence

Hyder Amil vs Spike Carlyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Hyder Amil
us

Hyder Amil

“The Hurricane”

11-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1680Good
Spike Carlyle
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Spike Carlyle

“The Alpha Ginger”

15-6-0LightweightRFF

1680Good

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
El Nino Training CenterTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Hyder AmilNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Spike CarlyleNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.55
53%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
51%
Strike defense
30%
0.56
Takedown avg.
3.34
18%
Takedown accuracy
37%
66%
Takedown defense
57%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Hyder AmilSpike Carlyle
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
1 (9%)
Submission
8 (53%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Hyder Amil60%
Spike Carlyle 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Hyder Amil a 60% favorite over Spike Carlyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1680), separated by just 0 points.

Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Hyder Amil finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Spike Carlyle 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.