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Combat Edge Intelligence

Hyuma Yasui vs Ryan Cafaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Japan Top Team· 1649 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamNick Catone MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

Ryan Cafaro is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Hyuma Yasui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Hyuma YasuiNow 1579
If they win+27→ 1606
If they lose-21→ 1558
Ryan CafaroNow 1630
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-18→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Hyuma YasuiRyan Cafaro
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
1 (33%)
Submission
8 (53%)
2 (67%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Hyuma Yasui54%
Ryan Cafaro 46%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Hyuma Yasui a 54% favorite over Ryan Cafaro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Cafaro's way (43%).

Ryan Cafaro holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1579, a 51-point edge.

Ryan Cafaro enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Hyuma Yasui finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Cafaro 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.