Ian Engbrock vs Keith Keogh
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamC-MAC· 1578 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ian EngbrockKeith Keogh
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Engbrock66%
Keith Keogh 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Engbrock a 66% favorite over Keith Keogh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.
Ian Engbrock enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Keith Keogh enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Ian Engbrock finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Keith Keogh 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.