Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Freeman vs Junior dos Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Freeman

Ian Freeman

“The Machine”

20-7-1Light HeavyweightUCFC

1648Solid

Tale of the tape

20-7-1Record23-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight250 lbs
Machine MMATeamChampion Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ian FreemanNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Junior dos SantosNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.49
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
45%
Strike defense
56%
1.44
Takedown avg.
0.30
40%
Takedown accuracy
50%
80%
Takedown defense
82%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.06

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
16 (70%)
6 (30%)
Submission
1 (4%)
4 (20%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ian Freeman and Junior dos Santos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1642), separated by just 6 points.

Ian Freeman enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Junior dos Santos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ian Freeman finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Junior dos Santos 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.