Ian Freeman vs Nate Schroeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record11-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight230 lbs
Machine MMATeam
What's at stake
Ian Freeman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nate Schroeder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1657
If they lose-23→ 1625
If they win+23→ 1517
If they lose-9→ 1485
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ian FreemanNate Schroeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Freeman59%
Nate Schroeder 41%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Freeman a 59% favorite over Nate Schroeder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Ian Freeman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1494, a 154-point edge.
Ian Freeman enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Nate Schroeder enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ian Freeman finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nate Schroeder 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.