Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Loveland vs Tarcísio Romano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ian Loveland
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Ian Loveland

“The Barn Owl”

18-10-0BantamweightKOTC

1514Average

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record12-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sports LabTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ian LovelandNow 1514
If they win+16→ 1530
If they lose-16→ 1498
Tarcísio RomanoNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.33
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ian LovelandTarcísio Romano
1450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
7 (39%)
Submission
2 (17%)
2 (11%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarcísio Romano60%
Ian Loveland 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarcísio Romano a 60% favorite over Ian Loveland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1514 vs 1519), separated by just 5 points.

Ian Loveland finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tarcísio Romano 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.