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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ian Loveland vs Tyler Toner

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ian Loveland
us

Ian Loveland

“The Barn Owl”

18-10-0BantamweightKOTC

1514Average
Tyler Toner
us

Tyler Toner

“Thunder”

15-7-0FeatherweightRFA

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

18-10-0Record15-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sports LabTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Tyler Toner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ian Loveland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ian LovelandNow 1514
If they win+20→ 1534
If they lose-12→ 1502
Tyler TonerNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-20→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.71
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
40%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
65%
Strike defense
62%
1
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
70%
Takedown defense
55%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Ian LovelandTyler Toner
1500160017002011201220132014

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
7 (39%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (11%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyler Toner59%
Ian Loveland 41%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyler Toner a 59% favorite over Ian Loveland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Tyler Toner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1514, a 97-point edge.

Ian Loveland finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Toner 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.