Ian Machado Garry vs Sean Brady
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
74" Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1799
If they win+16→ 1823
If they lose-16→ 1791
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1775 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ian Machado GarrySean Brady
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian Machado Garry59%
Sean Brady 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian Machado Garry a 59% favorite over Sean Brady in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1815 vs 1807), separated by just 8 points.
Ian Machado Garry finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.
Ian Machado Garry and Sean Brady share 1 common opponent: Belal Muhammad.
Ian Machado Garry carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.