Ian McCall vs Iliarde Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record32-16-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'3"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team OyamaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Ian McCall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Iliarde Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1636
If they lose-19→ 1604
If they win+14→ 1572
If they lose-10→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ian McCallIliarde Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ian McCall72%
Iliarde Santos 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Ian McCall a 72% favorite over Iliarde Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Ian McCall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1558, a 65-point edge.
Ian McCall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ian McCall finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Iliarde Santos 66%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.