Iasmin Lucindo vs Marina Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
66″Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fight HouseTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Iasmin Lucindo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marina Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1724
If they lose-19→ 1692
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-10→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Iasmin LucindoMarina Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Iasmin Lucindo69%
Marina Rodriguez 31%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Iasmin Lucindo a 69% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Iasmin Lucindo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1652, a 59-point edge.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Iasmin Lucindo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.
Iasmin Lucindo and Marina Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Amanda Lemos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.