Combat Edge Intelligence

Iasmin Lucindo vs Marina Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'7"
66″Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Fight HouseTeamThai Brasil

What's at stake

Iasmin Lucindo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marina Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Iasmin LucindoNow 1711
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-18→ 1693
Marina RodriguezNow 1675
If they win+18→ 1693
If they lose-14→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.64
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
66%
Strike defense
56%
2.15
Takedown avg.
0.28
60%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
63%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Iasmin LucindoMarina Rodriguez
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (6%)
7 (39%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Iasmin Lucindo78%
Marina Rodriguez 22%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Iasmin Lucindo a 78% favorite over Marina Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Iasmin Lucindo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1675, a 36-point edge.

Marina Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Iasmin Lucindo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.

Iasmin Lucindo and Marina Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Amanda Lemos.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Amanda Lemos
LossTKO · 2022