Ibo Aslan vs Sullivan Cauley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record8-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
77"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Gym 23TeamDan's Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ibo AslanSullivan Cauley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ibo Aslan and Sullivan Cauley within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1647), separated by just 1 points.
Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ibo Aslan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sullivan Cauley 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.