Combat Edge Intelligence

Ibragim Ibragimov vs Kevin Aguilar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Aguilar
us

Kevin Aguilar

“The Angel of Death”

17-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
66"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamLongview MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ibragim IbragimovNow 1685
If they win+24→ 1709
If they lose-24→ 1661
Kevin AguilarNow 1685
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.16
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ibragim IbragimovKevin Aguilar
15501600165017001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (14%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Ibragim Ibragimov63%
Kevin Aguilar 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ibragim Ibragimov a 63% favorite over Kevin Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.

Ibragim Ibragimov enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ibragim Ibragimov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Aguilar 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.