Ibragim Kantaev vs Matt Dwyer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record11-9-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'7"Height6'4"
-Reach44,0"
155 lbsWeight183 lbs
Berkut FC· 1626 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamToshido Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ibragim KantaevMatt Dwyer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Dwyer62%
Ibragim Kantaev 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Dwyer a 62% favorite over Ibragim Kantaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibragim Kantaev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1564), separated by just 0 points.
Matt Dwyer enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Ibragim Kantaev finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Matt Dwyer 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.