Combat Edge Intelligence

Ibragim Kantaev vs Pedro Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Berkut FCTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ibragim KantaevNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Pedro SouzaNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ibragim KantaevPedro Souza
1450150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
4 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (38%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Souza61%
Ibragim Kantaev 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Souza a 61% favorite over Ibragim Kantaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ibragim Kantaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1585), separated by just 0 points.

Pedro Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Ibragim Kantaev finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Souza 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.