Ibragim Magomedov vs Justin Wren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-8-1Record13-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
230 lbsWeight265 lbs
Red Devil Sport ClubTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1655
If they lose-12→ 1631
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ibragim MagomedovJustin Wren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Wren67%
Ibragim Magomedov 33%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Wren a 67% favorite over Ibragim Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1648), separated by just 5 points.
Justin Wren enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ibragim Magomedov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Justin Wren 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.