Ibrahima Wade vs Jesse Murray
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jesse Murray61%
Ibrahima Wade 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Murray a 61% favorite over Ibrahima Wade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1557), separated by just 2 points.
Ibrahima Wade enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ibrahima Wade finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Murray 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record10-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Marseille Fight Club· 1625 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamStrongstyle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1479 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ibrahima WadeJesse Murray