Combat Edge Intelligence

Icho Larenas vs Tom Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
TBDTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Tom Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Icho Larenas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Icho LarenasNow 1493
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-10→ 1483
Tom MurphyNow 1636
If they win+15→ 1651
If they lose-33→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.17
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
15%
Strike accuracy
71%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.17
29%
Strike defense
85%
0
Takedown avg.
7.51
TBD
Takedown accuracy
86%
14%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Icho LarenasTom Murphy
15001550160016502009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom Murphy74%
Icho Larenas 26%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom Murphy a 74% favorite over Icho Larenas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Tom Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1493, a 143-point edge.

Icho Larenas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tom Murphy enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Icho Larenas finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tom Murphy 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.