Ieuan Davies vs Kacper Formela
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record21-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
-Reach71.3"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1705
If they lose-24→ 1657
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ieuan DaviesKacper Formela
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kacper Formela53%
Ieuan Davies 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kacper Formela a 53% favorite over Ieuan Davies in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ieuan Davies's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1679), separated by just 2 points.
Ieuan Davies enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Kacper Formela enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ieuan Davies finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kacper Formela 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.