Ieuan Davies vs Noah Gugnon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-0-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-Reach68"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1696
If they lose-24→ 1648
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ieuan DaviesNoah Gugnon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ieuan Davies and Noah Gugnon within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1671), separated by just 1 points.
Ieuan Davies enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Noah Gugnon enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ieuan Davies finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Noah Gugnon 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.