Combat Edge Intelligence

Ieuan Mackenzie vs Nick Aguirre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'9"
-Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Craig Ewers AcademyTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ieuan MackenzieNow 1574
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.73
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.16
TBD
Takedown accuracy
20%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Ieuan MackenzieNick Aguirre
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
4 (67%)
Submission
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ieuan Mackenzie61%
Nick Aguirre 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ieuan Mackenzie a 61% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1574 vs 1574), separated by just 0 points.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ieuan Mackenzie finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Aguirre 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.